A. Mateos Caballero, E. Vicente Cestero, A. Jiménez Martín, H. Muñoz García, P. Sánchez Escalonilla, J. García Moreno

Este trabajo propone una metodología para el cálculo del riesgo importado por cada aeropuerto a través del tráfico aéreo internacional. El riesgo importado por cada aeropuerto se calcula en base al estado epidemiológico de los aeropuertos de partida y el número de personas que se contagien dentro del avión, que depende de factores como el asiento que ocupen los pasajeros y de si llevan o no mascarillas.
La red de tráfico aéreo internacional será representada como un grafo, donde los nodos representarán aeropuertos, los arcos vuelos diarios entre los aeropuertos y la ponderación de los arcos es el riesgo que ha pasado a través de dicho arco.
La validación de la metodología se realizará usando los datos correspondientes a los primeros meses de la pandemia de la COVID-19, desde el 22 de enero de 2020 al 31 de marzo de 2020. Los datos epidemiológicos serán obtenidos de la base de datos de John Hopkins y los datos sobre tráfico aéreo internacional de Flight Radar 2 y de IATA.

Keywords: Riesgo importado, covid-19, redes complejas, modelo SIR

Scheduled

Invited Session Contributions of Statistics and Operations Research to COVID-19 II
June 10, 2022  4:00 PM
Auditorium


Other papers in the same session


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