The Effect of Heavy Smoking on Retirement Behaviour: An Instrumental Variable Approach
A. Gaggero, E. Zucchell, O. Ajnakina, R. A. Hackett
The extent to which heavy smoking and retirement behaviour are causally related remains to be determined. To overcome the endogeneity of heavy smoking behaviour, we employ a novel approach by exploiting Mendelian Randomisation and use genetic predisposition to heavy smoking, as measured with a polygenic risk score (PGS), as an instrumental variable. A total of 3578 participants from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (mean age 64.41 years) had data on smoking behaviour, employment and a heavy smoking PGS. Heavy smoking was indexed as smoking at least 20 cigarettes a day. Our results show that being a heavy smoker increases significantly the probability of early retirement (B= 0.635, standard error = 0.209, p < 0.001). Results were robust to a battery of robustness checks and a falsification test. Overall, our findings support a causal pathway from heavy smoking to retirement behaviour.
Keywords: Smoking; Retirement behaviour; Polygenic Risk Scores; Instrumental variable; Mendelian Randomisation
Scheduled
Data Analysis in Social Sciences
June 8, 2022 4:00 PM
Audiovisual room
Other papers in the same session
A. Recio Alcaide, C. Pérez López, F. Bolumar Montrull
I. Molinero Muñoz, C. Pérez López, J. Villanueva Garcia
N. Corral Blanco, S. Álvarez Morán, C. E. Carleos Artime
Latest news
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6/8/22
Visit Alhambra
Tomorrow, Thursday, we will visit the Alhambra. 1. At 7:00 p.m., buses will start leaving from the door of the Hotel Granada Center (in front of the door of the Faculty of Sciences) 2. Upon arrival, groups with guides will be organized. 3. There will be groups in English language. These groups will wait at the destination until the arrival of all buses. 4. After the visit to the Alhambra we will walk to the Carmen de los Mártires to have a cocktail. 5. On the way back, we can go back by bus, which will leave from the same place where they left us at the Alhambra. 6. Although the way to the Alhambra by bus seems long, it really is close to the city. We invite you, whoever wishes, to go down for a pleasant walk. 7. Do not forget to take your Alhambra ticket and your identity card or passport. The document must be the same whose number matches the ticket number you have.
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5/31/22
YouTube Channel
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5/27/22
Gala Dinner
It opens the possibility that anyone who is registered for the conference, and wants non-registered companions to attend the gala dinner, can do so by paying the price of this dinner (80 euros VAT included). This payment must be made before June 1 (inclusive). To do this, contact with [email protected]
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5/23/22
IMPORTANT WARNING
To access the Alhambra on the visit on Thursday 9, it is obligatory to present the identification document whose reference was sent to the organization (eurocongress)
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5/16/22
Social Events
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