When are they coming? Understanding and forecasting the timeline of arrivals at the FC Barcelona stadium on match days

F. Serra Burriel, P. Delicado, F. Cucchietti Tabanik, E. Graells-Garrido, A. Gil Julian, I. Eguskiza Martinez

Futbol Club Barcelona operates the Camp Nou stadium, the largest stadium in Europe (with a capacity of almost one hundred thousand people) and hosts recurring sports events. In this research we study fine grain audience entrances at the stadium segregated by visitor type and gate to gain insights and predict the arrival behavior of future games. We consider that the number of arrivals over time are governed by underlying continuous-time arrival intensity curves, and we use function-on-scalar regression models to explore and understand previous data and predict curves of attendance as a function of time, relative to the beginning of the event. Our results show that the use of disaggregated stadium attendance data allows to understand the way in which people arrive at the stadium, acknowledging the importance of an efficient allocation of resources.

Keywords: Functional Data Analysis, function-on-scalar regression, applied statistics

Scheduled

GT06 Functional Data Analysis I. New methodologies
June 8, 2022  12:40 PM
Grade Hall

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