Datos georeferenciados y procesos puntuales en la lucha contra incendios forestales
I. Fuentes Santos, W. González Manteiga, M. Marey-Pérez
Los incendios forestales son un gran problema medioambiental y se espera que el cambio climático aumente su severidad. Galicia, ha sufrido una gran incidencia de incendios en las últimas décadas, siendo más del 75% de estos incendios intencionados. Esta particularidad dificulta el desarrollo de sistemas de predicción.
Este trabajo muestra como la aplicación de técnicas de inferencia no paramétrica para procesos puntuales a datos georeferenciados ayudan a modelar fenómenos tan importantes como los incendios. Nuestra base de datos recoge las coordenadas, hora y fecha del punto de ignición y causa de los más de 100000 incendios registrados en Galicia en el periodo 2009-2014. Hemos caracterizado la distribución de incendios naturales e intencionados mediante técnicas de inferencia de primer y segundo orden para procesos puntuales espaciotemporales. Estos análisis permiten entender su comportamiento e identificar covariables para un futuro sistema de predicción de riesgo de incendios.
Keywords: función de intensidad, K-función, proceso puntual inhomogéneo
Scheduled
Invited Session SGAPEIO-SEIO. Statistical applications from Galicia
June 7, 2022 6:40 PM
Grade Hall
Other papers in the same session
J. Roca Pardiñas
Á. M. González Rueda, M. Rodríguez Barreiro, J. L. Crespo Vázquez
S. Naya Fernández, J. Tarrío-Saavedra, A. Meneses, M. Flores, Y. Robles-Bykbaev
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6/8/22
Visit Alhambra
Tomorrow, Thursday, we will visit the Alhambra. 1. At 7:00 p.m., buses will start leaving from the door of the Hotel Granada Center (in front of the door of the Faculty of Sciences) 2. Upon arrival, groups with guides will be organized. 3. There will be groups in English language. These groups will wait at the destination until the arrival of all buses. 4. After the visit to the Alhambra we will walk to the Carmen de los Mártires to have a cocktail. 5. On the way back, we can go back by bus, which will leave from the same place where they left us at the Alhambra. 6. Although the way to the Alhambra by bus seems long, it really is close to the city. We invite you, whoever wishes, to go down for a pleasant walk. 7. Do not forget to take your Alhambra ticket and your identity card or passport. The document must be the same whose number matches the ticket number you have.
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5/31/22
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5/27/22
Gala Dinner
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5/23/22
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5/16/22
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